Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mumbai City v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals
Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Chennaiyin FC
HINSK
2-1
HT 1-1
Chennaiyin FC
HİNSL
2-6
HT 2-2
Mumbai City
HİNSL
Mumbai City 1-0 Chennaiyin FC — Actual Match Statistics
Mumbai City edged past Chennaiyin FC 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Mumbai City had 55% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 45%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.96.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Mumbai City and 0.67 for Chennaiyin FC.
What was the final score of Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC?
Mumbai City 1-0 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 52%, draw 25%, Chennaiyin FC 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.