Fiorentina 5-1 Udinese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 21 Dec 2025

Fiorentina
5 - 1 HT 3 - 0
Udinese
📅21/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.67
Over
46%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.67
2-3
47%
1.76
4-5
20%
4.22
6+
4%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.9
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.45
X/1
17%
4.69
X/2
10%
7.42
X/X
19%
4.14
2/1
2%
28.5
2/2
13%
5.89
2/X
5%
14.4
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Fiorentina The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Udinese The Market 29%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.54 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
1.09 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.60
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Udinese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.61 xG 1.23
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Udinese Udinese 2-3 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
23.12.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
14.01.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 0-1 Udinese Udinese İTA
24.09.2023 Udinese Udinese 0-2 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
14.05.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-0 HT 1-0 Udinese Udinese İTA
31.08.2022 Udinese Udinese 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
5 - 1
AWAY Udinese
3.20 xG 0.64
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
532 Passes 271
90% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Fiorentina vs Udinese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Fiorentina ran out comfortable winners over Udinese 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 46% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.

The match data tells the story: possession split 63% to 37% in Fiorentina's favour, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 3.20 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Fiorentina against 1.17 for Udinese.

Fiorentina vs Udinese Result & Final Score

Fiorentina 5 - 1 Udinese in the Italy - Serie A on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Fiorentina vs Udinese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 47%, draw 29%, Udinese 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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