Udinese vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals
Udinese vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Fiorentina
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Udinese
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Fiorentina
İTA
0-4
HT 0-2
Udinese
İTA
Udinese 2-3 Fiorentina — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorentina edged past Udinese 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fiorentina as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Udinese had 35% of the ball to Fiorentina's 65%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 1.46 to 2.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fiorentina's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Udinese had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Udinese and 1.17 for Fiorentina.
What was the final score of Udinese vs Fiorentina?
Udinese 2-3 Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese vs Fiorentina?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Udinese 32%, draw 27%, Fiorentina 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.