Venezia 2-3 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 May 2025

Venezia
2-3 HT 1-2
Juventus
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Venezia vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
47%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
2.29
Over 2.5
40%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.63
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
18%
2.79
6+ Goals
8%
7.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.63 — our 30% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
9.94
1/2
6%
20.25
1/X
7%
18.45
X/1
7%
12.85
X/2
19%
4.12
X/X EV+ ✗
16%
6.88
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
22%
1.8
2/X
5%
16.3
Value flag · X/X at 6.88 — our 16% vs market 10.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.9pp
47%
Away Win
64%
-16.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
40%
+20.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
60%
-20.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.7pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Juventus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 69%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
0.98/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.98
-57% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 454 · 85%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
15.8 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1

Venezia vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Juventus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
0.50 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
292 Passes 480
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Juventus Juventus 2-2 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
01.05.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTA
11.12.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
13.01.2002 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
26.08.2001 Juventus Juventus 4-0 HT 3-0 Venezia Venezia İTA

Venezia 2-3 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-3
AWAY Juventus
0.88 xG 1.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
242 Passes 367
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 35
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus nicked a narrow win over Venezia 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezia had 43% of the ball to Juventus's 57%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.88 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venezia and 2.20 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Juventus?

Venezia 2-3 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Venezia 25%, draw 28%, Juventus 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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