Empoli 1-2 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
17%
6.69
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.77
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
13%
8.39
X/X
15%
3.34
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
9%
7.92
2/X
8%
17.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.43/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.35
-16% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.1 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
285 Passes 275
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-4 HT 1-4 Empoli Empoli İTA
13.01.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
19.08.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
28.05.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
31.08.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
20.03.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
1-2
AWAY Hellas Verona
0.90 xG 0.78
70% Ball Possession 30%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 1
340 Passes 115
79% Pass Accuracy 57%
18 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hellas Verona nicked a narrow win over Empoli 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Empoli at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Empoli had 70% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 30%, shots finished 15-5, expected goals 0.90 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Empoli and 1.17 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Hellas Verona?

Empoli 1-2 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Empoli win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Empoli 42%, draw 29%, Hellas Verona 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Empoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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