OH Leuven 0-2 Cercle Brugge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
16.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.73
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.59
X/2
10%
5.93
X/X
11%
4.41
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.07
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+7.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cercle Brugge EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.30/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.36
+15% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 71%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
16.1 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.19
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 Passes 240
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-2 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
22.12.2024 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 1-0 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
18.08.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-1 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
16.12.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 1-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
07.10.2023 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge 3-2 HT 2-2 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
10.02.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
0-2
AWAY Cercle Brugge
1.25 xG 1.66
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 7
292 Passes 181
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
29 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cercle Brugge beat OH Leuven 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was OH Leuven at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 58% of the ball to Cercle Brugge's 42%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.25 to 1.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cercle Brugge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OH Leuven and 1.33 for Cercle Brugge.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

OH Leuven 0-2 Cercle Brugge in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 45%, draw 24%, Cercle Brugge 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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