St. Truidense 1-0 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Dec 2025

📅21/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.22
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.2
X/1
18%
4.62
X/2
8%
9.55
X/X
12%
5.81
2/1
8%
21.05
2/2
10%
6.85
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +15%
1.73/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.75
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
20.7 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Truidense
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mechelen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.13
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
407 Passes 395
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-3 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
21.02.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
08.11.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 1-0 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
12.05.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-1 HT 2-1 Mechelen Mechelen BEL
05.04.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 2-3 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
03.12.2023 Mechelen Mechelen 0-2 HT 0-2 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH St. Truidense vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense edged past Mechelen 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Truidense had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St. Truidense and 1.00 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of St. Truidense vs Mechelen?

St. Truidense 1-0 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Truidense vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St. Truidense 52%, draw 24%, Mechelen 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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