Rijeka vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities
Rijeka v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Rijeka 1-0 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics
Rijeka edged past HNK Gorica 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.74, roughly 57%.
By the numbers, Rijeka had 57% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 43%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rijeka and 0.33 for HNK Gorica.
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica Result & Final Score
Rijeka 1 - 0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 21/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Rijeka vs HNK Gorica Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 62%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.