Rijeka 1-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.54
6+ Goals
9%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
71%
-12.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.4pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.55/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.61
+19% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
21.2 Crosses 13.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
5W-0D-1L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.85 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
291 Passes 245
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
21.04.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
11.02.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
24.01.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-3 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.10.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
23.04.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 1-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
1-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka nicked a narrow win over HNK Gorica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rijeka had 42% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 58%, shots finished 6-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rijeka and 0.50 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?

Rijeka 1-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 59%, draw 23%, HNK Gorica 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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