Slaven Belupo 3-2 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -10%
0.98/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.35
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.8 Crosses 18.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slaven Belupo
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Osijek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 Passes 296
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Osijek Osijek 1-0 HT 1-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
29.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
17.12.2023 Osijek Osijek 4-1 HT 2-0 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
30.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 1-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
22.07.2023 Osijek Osijek 6-1 HT 3-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
21.04.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slaven Belupo
3-2
AWAY Osijek
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Slaven Belupo vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo squeezed past Osijek 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Slaven Belupo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slaven Belupo had 54% of the ball to Osijek's 46%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slaven Belupo and 2.17 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Slaven Belupo vs Osijek?

Slaven Belupo 3-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slaven Belupo vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slaven Belupo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slaven Belupo 37%, draw 28%, Osijek 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slaven Belupo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slaven Belupo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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