HNK Gorica 0-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.0
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.72
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
21%
+8.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.4pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 56%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.04/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.87
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
226 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.2 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Gorica
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rijeka
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 2.01
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
257 Passes 261
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
15 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
14.09.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-1 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
21.04.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 3-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
11.02.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
24.01.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-3 HT 2-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
29.10.2023 Rijeka Rijeka 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Gorica
0-0
AWAY Rijeka
0.85 xG 0.36
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
278 Passes 281
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HNK Gorica vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Gorica and Rijeka fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, HNK Gorica had 50% of the ball to Rijeka's 50%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.85 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.83 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Rijeka?

HNK Gorica 0-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 29%, draw 26%, Rijeka 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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