Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Jan 2025

Portsmouth
3-1 HT 2-1
Stoke City
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.11
6+ Goals
10%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.59
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
14%
5.3
X/2
12%
6.01
X/X
17%
4.03
2/1
9%
30.5
2/2
12%
4.37
2/X
4%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Portsmouth v Stoke City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stoke City EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.05/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.32
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
– Crosses 18.1
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Portsmouth vs Stoke City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portsmouth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Stoke City
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.29 xG 2.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
286 Passes 390
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2024 Stoke City Stoke City 6-1 HT 3-1 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNCL
27.08.2014 Stoke City Stoke City 3-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNLK
20.02.2010 Portsmouth Portsmouth 1-2 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNP
22.11.2009 Stoke City Stoke City 1-0 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP
27.10.2009 Portsmouth Portsmouth 4-0 HT 1-0 Stoke City Stoke City İNLK
21.02.2009 Stoke City Stoke City 2-2 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İNP

Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portsmouth
3-1
AWAY Stoke City
2.12 xG 0.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
194 Passes 265
66% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Portsmouth vs Stoke City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth beat Stoke City 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Portsmouth found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Portsmouth had 43% of the ball to Stoke City's 57%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 2.12 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stoke City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portsmouth and 2.33 for Stoke City.

What was the final score of Portsmouth vs Stoke City?

Portsmouth 3-1 Stoke City in the England - Championship on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Portsmouth 39%, draw 28%, Stoke City 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5
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