Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Jan 2025

Leeds United
2-0 HT 1-0
Norwich City
📅22/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Leeds United vs Norwich City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
18.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
30%
3.77
X/2
5%
16.2
X/X
5%
6.7
2/1
11%
22.55
2/2
8%
14.2
2/X
11%
22.1
Value flag · X/1 at 3.77 — our 30% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.6pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Norwich City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Norwich City EU Bookmakers 15%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.99/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.92
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -22%
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
34.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
22.2 Crosses 11.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.3

Leeds United vs Norwich City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Norwich City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.39 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
414 Passes 315
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 1-1 HT 1-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
16.05.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 4-0 HT 3-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
12.05.2024 Norwich City Norwich City 0-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
24.01.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
21.10.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-3 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
13.03.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP

Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
2-0
AWAY Norwich City
1.34 xG 0.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
448 Passes 414
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
35 Box Touches 5
21 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Norwich City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United got the better of Norwich City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Leeds United had 52% of the ball to Norwich City's 48%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 1.34 to 0.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Leeds United and 0.67 for Norwich City.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Norwich City?

Leeds United 2-0 Norwich City in the England - Championship on 22/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Norwich City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 60%, draw 22%, Norwich City 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ BTTS No
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