Southampton 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

Southampton
0-4 HT 0-1
Brighton & Hove Albion
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.65
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
50%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.33
Over 2.5
59%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
15%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.51
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
19.8
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
8%
11.45
X/2
20%
4.26
X/X
11%
6.47
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
1.89
2/X
8%
14.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.8 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
18%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
60%
-10.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
39%
+2.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
61%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southampton v Brighton & Hove Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 64%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
1.07/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.57
-34% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -42%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 474 · 84%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.8
16.6 Crosses 18.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southampton
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.09 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 386
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 HT 1-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
21.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 HT 2-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
26.12.2022 Southampton Southampton 1-3 HT 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
24.04.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 HT 2-1 Southampton Southampton İNP
04.12.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
14.03.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP

Southampton 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton
0-4
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
0.11 xG 3.97
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 6
346 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
5 Box Touches 39
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion ran out comfortable winners over Southampton 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brighton & Hove Albion as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Southampton had 50% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 50%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.11 to 3.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southampton and 2.00 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Southampton 0-4 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Southampton 26%, draw 24%, Brighton & Hove Albion 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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