Parma 2-0 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Feb 2025

Parma
2-0 HT 1-0
Bologna
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Parma vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.82
Over
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.14
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.5
6+
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
7.15
1/2
6%
23.85
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
11%
8.94
X/2
18%
4.3
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.32
2/X
6%
13.75
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Parma v Bologna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna The Market 56%
+13% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.23/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.58
+15% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +112%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
236 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
12.7 Crosses 13.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0

Parma vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Bologna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.06 xG 1.14
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
280 Passes 427
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.10.2024 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA
07.02.2021 Parma Parma 0-3 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
28.09.2020 Bologna Bologna 4-1 HT 2-0 Parma Parma İTA
12.07.2020 Parma Parma 2-2 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
24.11.2019 Bologna Bologna 2-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
13.05.2019 Bologna Bologna 4-1 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTA

Parma 2-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
2-0
AWAY Bologna
1.11 xG 0.66
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
131 Passes 485
65% Pass Accuracy 86%
10 Box Touches 30
2 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Parma vs Bologna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Parma saw off Bologna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. For what it's worth, the market was even more convinced — 1.77, about 56% — so the upset beat the price as well as us.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.82, about 55%.

On the day, Bologna saw more of the ball, 74% to 26%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 1.11 to 0.66.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Parma against 2.50 for Bologna.

Parma vs Bologna Result & Final Score

Parma 2-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Parma vs Bologna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Parma 30%, draw 27%, Bologna 43%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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