Inter 1-0 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Feb 2025

Inter
1-0 HT 0-0
Genoa
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Inter vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.32
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
1.97
Over
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.24
No
46%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.48
2-3
44%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.24
6+
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.55
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
21.55
X/1
15%
3.59
X/2
6%
17.85
X/X
10%
6.63
2/1 ✗
11%
24.7
2/2
6%
16.65
2/X
7%
25.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Inter v Genoa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa The Market 14%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +8%
2.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.79
+13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 77%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
24.1 Crosses 13.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Inter vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Genoa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 0.91
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
477 Passes 288
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Genoa Genoa 2-2 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
04.03.2024 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 2-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
29.12.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
25.02.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
21.08.2021 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
28.02.2021 Inter Inter 3-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA

Inter 1-0 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
1-0
AWAY Genoa
1.52 xG 1.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
501 Passes 267
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
45 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Inter vs Genoa
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Inter edged past Genoa 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Inter had 62% of the ball to Genoa's 38%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.52 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Inter and 0.67 for Genoa.

Inter vs Genoa Result & Final Score

Inter 1-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Inter vs Genoa Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Inter 59%, draw 24%, Genoa 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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