Genoa 2-2 Inter — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 17 Aug 2024

Genoa
2-2 HT 1-1
Inter
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Genoa vs Inter Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.09
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
9%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.9
1/2
10%
24.0
1/X
8%
18.2
X/1
7%
11.9
X/2
19%
3.58
X/X
11%
5.43
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
26%
1.91
2/X
5%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
16%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Genoa v Inter — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genoa EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.87/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.91
+24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +20%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 443 · 84%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
17.5 Crosses 22.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Genoa vs Inter Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genoa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Inter
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 1.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
315 Passes 500
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.03.2024 Inter Inter 2-1 HT 2-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
29.12.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
25.02.2022 Genoa Genoa 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
21.08.2021 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
28.02.2021 Inter Inter 3-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
24.10.2020 Genoa Genoa 0-2 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA

Genoa 2-2 Inter — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genoa
2-2
AWAY Inter
2.11 xG 1.96
33% Ball Possession 67%
13 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 4
174 Passes 429
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Genoa vs Inter
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genoa and Inter couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Inter carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Genoa had 33% of the ball to Inter's 67%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 2.11 to 1.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Genoa and 2.00 for Inter.

What was the final score of Genoa vs Inter?

Genoa 2-2 Inter in the Italy - Serie A on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genoa vs Inter?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Genoa 22%, draw 23%, Inter 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Inter), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
17 Aug 2024
19:30 Parma vs Fiorentina Analysis →
21:45 Empoli vs Monza Analysis →
21:45 Milan vs Torino Analysis →