Empoli 0-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 17 Aug 2024

Empoli
0-0 HT 0-0
Monza
📅17/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
10%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.45
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
10%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
13%
3.94
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
16%
4.52
2/X
10%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.2pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +28%
1.60/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.17
-1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
17.5 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Monza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.07 xG 1.48
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
300 Passes 445
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Empoli Empoli 3-0 HT 2-0 Monza Monza İTA
26.08.2023 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
04.03.2023 Monza Monza 2-1 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
15.10.2022 Empoli Empoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Monza Monza İTA
06.02.2021 Monza Monza 1-1 HT 0-1 Empoli Empoli İTB
03.10.2020 Empoli Empoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Monza Monza İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Empoli
0-0
AWAY Monza
0.47 xG 0.34
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
180 Passes 341
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Empoli vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli and Monza played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Empoli had 38% of the ball to Monza's 62%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.47 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Empoli and 0.83 for Monza.

What was the final score of Empoli vs Monza?

Empoli 0-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Empoli 34%, draw 30%, Monza 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Monza) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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