Torino 2-1 Milan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 22 Feb 2025

Torino
2-1 HT 1-0
Milan
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Torino vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.95
Over
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.69
No
52%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.43
2-3
42%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.27
6+
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.43 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.12
1/2
10%
23.4
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
11%
8.15
X/2
13%
4.58
X/X
14%
4.9
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.5
2/X
8%
12.95
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Torino v Milan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torino The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan The Market 54%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.03/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.20
-15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.3 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Torino vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torino
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Milan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.84 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
307 Passes 409
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Milan Milan 2-2 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA
18.05.2024 Torino Torino 3-1 HT 2-0 Milan Milan İTA
26.08.2023 Milan Milan 4-1 HT 3-1 Torino Torino İTA
10.02.2023 Milan Milan 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
11.01.2023 Milan Milan 0-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTK
30.10.2022 Torino Torino 2-1 HT 2-0 Milan Milan İTA

Torino 2-1 Milan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torino
2-1
AWAY Milan
0.30 xG 2.45
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
222 Passes 442
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Torino vs Milan
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Torino found just enough to beat Milan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Milan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. Small consolation: at 1.87 (roughly 53%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 48%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.69, about 59%.

Under the surface, Milan saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 9-26, expected goals 0.30 to 2.45 — on chances, Milan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torino had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Torino against 1.50 for Milan.

Torino vs Milan Result & Final Score

Torino 2-1 Milan in the Italy - Serie A on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Torino vs Milan Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Torino 26%, draw 28%, Milan 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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