Bologna vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bologna v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Bologna vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Bologna
İTA
4-1
HT 2-0
Parma
İTA
2-2
HT 0-2
Bologna
İTA
2-2
HT 1-1
Parma
İTA
4-1
HT 0-0
Parma
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Bologna
İTA
Bologna 0-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Bologna and Parma fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Bologna had 71% of the ball to Parma's 29%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 0.80 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bologna and 1.00 for Parma.
What was the final score of Bologna vs Parma?
Bologna 0-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bologna vs Parma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bologna 43%, draw 26%, Parma 31%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.