Pisa 3-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
4.75
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.25
X/1
22%
4.2
X/2
7%
8.89
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
12%
7.83
2/X
7%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 24%
+8% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.66/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.31
+7% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.8 Crosses 15.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.14 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
238 Passes 291
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-0 HT 1-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
30.09.2020 Pisa Pisa 2-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTK
25.01.2020 Pisa Pisa 1-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
01.09.2019 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 0-2 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
3-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.61 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
350 Passes 210
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa got the better of Juve Stabia 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pisa had 61% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 39%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.61 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Pisa and 0.75 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Juve Stabia?

Pisa 3-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Pisa 46%, draw 30%, Juve Stabia 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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