Cittadella 0-2 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.99
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
36%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.27
2-3 Goals
44%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.1
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.53
X/2
21%
5.11
X/X
10%
3.5
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
9%
3.46
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+8.2pp
26%
Draw
32%
-5.8pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.01/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.08
-2% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
23.6 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Modena
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.09 xG 0.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
19 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Modena Modena 0-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
16.03.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
16.12.2023 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
02.04.2023 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
05.11.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
17.01.2015 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-2
AWAY Modena
0.92 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
321 Passes 290
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 31
30 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Modena got the better of Cittadella 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Modena made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cittadella had 52% of the ball to Modena's 48%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.92 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cittadella and 0.50 for Modena.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Modena?

Cittadella 0-2 Modena in the Italy - Serie B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 38%, draw 26%, Modena 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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