Modena 0-1 Cittadella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
5.41
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.68
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
13%
3.97
X/2
7%
7.81
X/X
16%
3.76
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
6.88
2/X
7%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.3pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Modena EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cittadella EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.28/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.24
-5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.2 Crosses 23.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Modena
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Cittadella
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 1.19
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 286
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2024 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
16.12.2023 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
02.04.2023 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
05.11.2022 Cittadella Cittadella 0-0 HT 0-0 Modena Modena İTB
17.01.2015 Cittadella Cittadella 1-1 HT 0-1 Modena Modena İTB
01.09.2014 Modena Modena 1-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Modena
0-1
AWAY Cittadella
1.13 xG 0.73
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
344 Passes 216
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Modena vs Cittadella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cittadella nicked a narrow win over Modena 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Modena at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Modena had 59% of the ball to Cittadella's 41%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.13 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Modena and 0.67 for Cittadella.

What was the final score of Modena vs Cittadella?

Modena 0-1 Cittadella in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Modena vs Cittadella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Modena 41%, draw 30%, Cittadella 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Modena) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Modena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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