Südtirol 1-2 Brescia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.83
Away
37%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
17%
6.17
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.27
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
9%
4.49
X/2
11%
6.64
X/X
15%
3.32
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
22%
5.69
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.4pp
37%
Away Win
26%
+10.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brescia EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.22/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.28
-7% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.9 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Brescia
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.85
44% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
280 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
28.11.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
15.01.2023 Südtirol Südtirol 1-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
14.08.2022 Brescia Brescia 2-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-2
AWAY Brescia
2.37 xG 0.47
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
492 Passes 204
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 5
36 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Brescia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia edged past Südtirol 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Brescia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Südtirol had 67% of the ball to Brescia's 33%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 2.37 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured Südtirol.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Südtirol and 1.00 for Brescia.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Brescia?

Südtirol 1-2 Brescia in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Brescia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brescia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 36%, draw 27%, Brescia 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brescia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brescia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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