Sassuolo 1-4 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 32% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.66
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
13%
5.46
X/2
9%
5.74
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.93
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
0.92/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/0.97
-24% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
Crosses 20.2
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Cremonese
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
358 Passes 286
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2023 Sassuolo Sassuolo 3-2 HT 2-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
04.09.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 0-0 HT 0-0 Sassuolo Sassuolo İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo
1-4
AWAY Cremonese
1.82 xG 2.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
355 Passes 376
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese cruised past Sassuolo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cremonese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo had 50% of the ball to Cremonese's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.82 to 2.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sassuolo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sassuolo and 1.00 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Sassuolo vs Cremonese?

Sassuolo 1-4 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo 39%, draw 28%, Cremonese 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
31 Aug 2024
19:00 Sampdoria vs FC Bari 1908 Analysis →
21:30 Modena vs Cittadella Analysis →
21:30 Pisa vs Reggiana Analysis →
21:30 Südtirol vs Brescia Analysis →