Pisa 2-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
15%
3.86
X/2
8%
8.36
X/X
10%
4.34
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
13%
7.11
2/X
10%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.38/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.23
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
22.4 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
1W-4D-0L
AWAY Reggiana
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.17 xG 0.79
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
310 Passes 279
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.01.2024 Pisa Pisa 2-2 HT 1-2 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
26.09.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTB
30.01.2021 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
27.09.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-2 Pisa Pisa İTB
08.04.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 1-1 HT 0-0 Pisa Pisa İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
2-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.29 xG 0.54
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
189 Passes 450
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa edged past Reggiana 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pisa had 34% of the ball to Reggiana's 66%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.29 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Pisa and 1.00 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Reggiana?

Pisa 2-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pisa 44%, draw 29%, Reggiana 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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