Reggiana 2-2 Carrarese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.93
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
13.35
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.61
X/2
10%
7.63
X/X
19%
3.48
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
12%
6.46
2/X
4%
14.55
Value flag · X/1 at 4.61 — our 25% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.9pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrarese EU Bookmakers 28%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.87/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.56
-65% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 70%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.8 Crosses 18.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Carrarese
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.27 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 Passes 360
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Carrarese Carrarese 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
26.02.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
24.10.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
06.02.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
28.09.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
12.04.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-2
AWAY Carrarese
1.53 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 312
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Carrarese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Carrarese couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Reggiana at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 55% of the ball to Carrarese's 45%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.53 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Reggiana and 0.33 for Carrarese.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Carrarese?

Reggiana 2-2 Carrarese in the Italy - Serie B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Carrarese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 47%, draw 28%, Carrarese 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTB More Italy - Serie B
22 Feb 2025
17:00 Mantova vs FC Bari 1908 Analysis →
17:00 Pisa vs Juve Stabia Analysis →
17:00 Cittadella vs Modena Analysis →
19:15 Cremonese vs Cesena Analysis →