Carrarese 0-0 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.21
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
8%
5.68
X/2
12%
5.19
X/X
12%
3.89
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.71
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +80%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
Crosses 14.7
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Reggiana
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.02.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
24.10.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
06.02.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
28.09.2021 Reggiana Reggiana 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
12.04.2015 Reggiana Reggiana 3-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
30.11.2014 Carrarese Carrarese 1-3 HT 1-2 Reggiana Reggiana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
0-0
AWAY Reggiana
1.31 xG 0.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 Passes 265
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese and Reggiana played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Carrarese had 55% of the ball to Reggiana's 45%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carrarese and 1.83 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Reggiana?

Carrarese 0-0 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 34%, draw 28%, Reggiana 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Reggiana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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