FC Bari 1908 1-1 Cosenza Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.82
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
11%
7.31
X/X
11%
4.1
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
13%
5.72
2/X
8%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cosenza Calcio EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.21/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.39
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
23.4 Crosses 19.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Bari 1908
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.43 xG 1.04
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
27.04.2024 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
23.12.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
12.02.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-1 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
10.09.2022 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
09.03.2003 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio İTB
05.10.2002 Cosenza Calcio Cosenza Calcio 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Bari 1908
1-1
AWAY Cosenza Calcio
0.72 xG 1.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
267 Passes 267
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Bari 1908 vs Cosenza Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 and Cosenza Calcio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Bari 1908 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FC Bari 1908 had 50% of the ball to Cosenza Calcio's 50%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.72 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Bari 1908 and 0.83 for Cosenza Calcio.

What was the final score of FC Bari 1908 vs Cosenza Calcio?

FC Bari 1908 1-1 Cosenza Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Bari 1908 vs Cosenza Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bari 1908 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Bari 1908 42%, draw 28%, Cosenza Calcio 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Bari 1908), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Bari 1908) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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