Mantova 0-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.39
6+ Goals
9%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
9%
5.24
X/2
13%
6.25
X/X
10%
3.79
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
16%
4.65
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+3.2pp
22%
Draw
30%
-8.1pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mantova EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 34%
+26% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.38/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.30
+49% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
275 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
10.4 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.56 xG 1.46
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
534 Passes 209
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
28.02.2009 Mantova Mantova 0-2 HT 0-2 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.10.2008 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
23.02.2008 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.09.2007 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
23.04.2007 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-1 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
0-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.43 xG 0.73
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 9
378 Passes 188
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mantova vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 squeezed past Mantova 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mantova at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mantova had 64% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 36%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.43 to 0.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Mantova and 1.33 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Mantova vs FC Bari 1908?

Mantova 0-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mantova vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mantova win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mantova 42%, draw 22%, FC Bari 1908 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mantova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mantova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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