Dandenong Thunder 2-2 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.7pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.70/2.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.67
-1% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +123%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 20.2
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dandenong Thunder
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Dandenong City
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.74 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
352 Passes 196
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.06.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-0 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
15.03.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-2 HT 0-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.06.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-3 HT 1-2 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
25.03.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-2 HT 1-2 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
26.02.2021 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-1 HT 0-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dandenong Thunder and Dandenong City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dandenong Thunder had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Dandenong Thunder and 1.00 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City?

Dandenong Thunder 2-2 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dandenong Thunder vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dandenong Thunder 37%, draw 22%, Dandenong City 41%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dandenong City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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