Cherno More Varna 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.75
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
21%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
49%
Away Win
49%
-0.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cherno More Varna EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 53%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.41/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.77
+59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cherno More Varna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 0-0 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
19.05.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 4-0 HT 1-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
19.02.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 3-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
20.08.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 1-0 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
07.06.2023 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
11.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 1-2 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cherno More Varna
1-1
AWAY Ludogorets Razgrad
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cherno More Varna and Ludogorets Razgrad shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Ludogorets Razgrad at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Cherno More Varna had 49% of the ball to Ludogorets Razgrad's 51%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.83 for Ludogorets Razgrad.

What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Cherno More Varna 1-1 Ludogorets Razgrad in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Ludogorets Razgrad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 24%, draw 28%, Ludogorets Razgrad 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Feb 2025
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