Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.87/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.25
+77% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
229 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
23.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-1 HT 1-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
06.05.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 0-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
06.04.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 2-1 HT 2-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
07.10.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
01.06.2023 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 3-2 HT 0-1 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali and Slavia Sofia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arda Kardzhali had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 1.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arda Kardzhali win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 40%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arda Kardzhali), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arda Kardzhali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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