SalPa Salo 2-3 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
2.03
Over 2.5
37%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.03
6+ Goals
8%
10.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 34% vs market 21.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
45%
+17.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
55%
-17.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.2pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 37%
-60% / -60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
289 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
17.07.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-1 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
19.05.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 2-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
09.03.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
08.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
21.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
2-3
AWAY SJK Akatemia
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SJK Akatemia nicked a narrow win over SalPa Salo 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day SJK Akatemia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 52% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 48%, shots finished 10-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.67 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

SalPa Salo 2-3 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykköscup on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 39%, draw 26%, SJK Akatemia 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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