SalPa Salo 1-1 SJK Akatemia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
40%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.59
Over 2.5
52%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.43
No
53%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
5.63
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.63
6+ Goals
10%
6.23
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.63 — our 24% vs market 13.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
29%
+8.9pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
40%
Away Win
48%
-7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
66%
-18.5pp
53%
BTTS No
34%
+18.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY SJK Akatemia EU Bookmakers 52%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.40/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/2.27
+12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -53%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
1W-0D-4L
AWAY SJK Akatemia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.07.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-1 HT 2-0 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
19.05.2024 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-0 HT 2-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
09.03.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-2 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FINYK
08.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia FİN2
21.04.2023 SJK Akatemia SJK Akatemia 2-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-1
AWAY SJK Akatemia
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo and SJK Akatemia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 22% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 46% of the ball to SJK Akatemia's 54%, shots finished 7-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SJK Akatemia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for SalPa Salo and 1.80 for SJK Akatemia.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

SalPa Salo 1-1 SJK Akatemia in the Finland - Ykkönen on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs SJK Akatemia?

Before kick-off our model rated an SJK Akatemia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 38%, draw 22%, SJK Akatemia 40%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SJK Akatemia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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