JIPPO 3-2 KTP Kotka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 26% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JIPPO EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY KTP Kotka EU Bookmakers 43%
+16% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.57/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.05
+14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JIPPO
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KTP Kotka
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 4
12.06.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 2-1 HT 2-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
20.04.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 1-0 HT 1-0 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
03.02.2024 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 1-1 HT 0-1 JIPPO JIPPO FINYK
04.10.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 0-0 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.08.2014 JIPPO JIPPO 1-4 HT 0-1 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka FİN2
12.06.2014 KTP Kotka KTP Kotka 3-0 HT 3-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JIPPO
3-2
AWAY KTP Kotka
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH JIPPO vs KTP Kotka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO edged past KTP Kotka 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was KTP Kotka at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, JIPPO had 39% of the ball to KTP Kotka's 61%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KTP Kotka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for JIPPO and 1.67 for KTP Kotka.

What was the final score of JIPPO vs KTP Kotka?

JIPPO 3-2 KTP Kotka in the Finland - Ykkönen on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JIPPO vs KTP Kotka?

Before kick-off our model rated an KTP Kotka win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split JIPPO 34%, draw 25%, KTP Kotka 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KTP Kotka), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KTP Kotka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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