Lille 2-1 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 22 Feb 2025

Lille
2-1 HT 2-1
Monaco
📅22/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Lille vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.1
Over Pick
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.54
No
45%
2.31
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.96
2-3
40%
1.82
4-5
23%
2.98
6+
13%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.29
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.15
X/1
15%
5.58
X/2
15%
6.37
X/X
9%
5.06
2/1 ✗
7%
24.3
2/2
12%
4.05
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.3 — our 7% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Lille v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco The Market 37%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +16%
1.44/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.35
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
13.9 Crosses 15.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Lille vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Monaco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
372 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.10.2024 Monaco Monaco 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
24.04.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
29.10.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 2-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
14.05.2023 Monaco Monaco 0-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
23.10.2022 Lille Lille 4-3 HT 2-2 Monaco Monaco FR1
06.05.2022 Lille Lille 1-2 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1

Lille 2-1 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
2-1
AWAY Monaco
1.11 xG 2.34
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
321 Passes 461
82% Pass Accuracy 90%
18 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Lille vs Monaco
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille shaded a tight game against Monaco 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, Lille had 43% of the ball to Monaco's 57%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.11 to 2.34 — by the quality of chances, Monaco deserved more.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lille and 1.00 for Monaco.

Lille vs Monaco Result & Final Score

Lille 2-1 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lille vs Monaco Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lille 41%, draw 25%, Monaco 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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