Necaxa vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Necaxa v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Necaxa vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Mazatlan
MEK
0-1
HT 0-1
Necaxa
MEK
2-2
HT 1-2
Mazatlan
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Necaxa
MEK
Necaxa 3-1 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Necaxa got the better of Mazatlan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Necaxa as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Necaxa had 73% of the ball to Mazatlan's 27%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.39 to 0.28.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Necaxa and 0.67 for Mazatlan.
What was the final score of Necaxa vs Mazatlan?
Necaxa 3-1 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Necaxa vs Mazatlan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Necaxa win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Necaxa 54%, draw 25%, Mazatlan 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Necaxa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.