Boston River vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boston River v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Boston River vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 1-0
Boston River
URU
1-0
HT 0-0
Boston River
URU
Boston River 2-3 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football edged past Boston River 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boston River had 44% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 56%, shots finished 12-26.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 1.83 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Boston River vs Nacional de Football?
Boston River 2-3 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boston River vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Boston River 17%, draw 20%, Nacional de Football 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.