Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.44/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.18
+14% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
309 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cerro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.11.2024 Cerro Cerro 1-3 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
21.07.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
03.06.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-3 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
25.11.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
08.07.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
24.04.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-1
AWAY Cerro
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) edged past Cerro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 66% of the ball to Cerro's 34%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.17 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 44%, draw 28%, Cerro 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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22 Feb 2025
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