Atletic Lleida 3-3 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic Lleida EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.72/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.10
+32% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletic Lleida
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Barbastro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
9 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2025 Barbastro Barbastro 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida İS4
16.08.2025 Barbastro Barbastro 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletic Lleida
3-3
AWAY Barbastro
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletic Lleida vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletic Lleida and Barbastro couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atletic Lleida at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletic Lleida had 54% of the ball to Barbastro's 46%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletic Lleida and 1.00 for Barbastro.

What was the final score of Atletic Lleida vs Barbastro?

Atletic Lleida 3-3 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic Lleida vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletic Lleida win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletic Lleida 42%, draw 29%, Barbastro 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletic Lleida) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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