Brisbane Roar II 1-3 Brisbane City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒08:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.39
No
54%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
68%
-21.4pp
54%
BTTS No
32%
+21.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane City EU Bookmakers 40%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
2.05/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.87
-4% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.0 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Brisbane City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2025 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-1 HT 2-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
18.05.2025 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVSQ
26.05.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 2-3 HT 1-1 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
24.02.2024 Brisbane City Brisbane City 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
04.06.2023 Brisbane City Brisbane City 2-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
25.02.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane City Brisbane City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane City beat Brisbane Roar II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar II at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane City led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 1.67 for Brisbane City.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City?

Brisbane Roar II 1-3 Brisbane City in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 42%, draw 22%, Brisbane City 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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