La Louvière 0-2 Mechelen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.1 — our 29% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.27
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
5%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.21
X/2
8%
6.34
X/X
14%
4.45
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
20%
4.43
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mechelen EU Bookmakers 34%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +14%
1.11/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.60
-63% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
30.9 Crosses 16.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Mechelen
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.80 xG 2.39
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
156 Passes 410
67% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 28
23 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Mechelen Mechelen 3-2 HT 1-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEL
30.10.2024 Mechelen Mechelen 3-1 HT 0-0 La Louvière La Louvière BEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
0-2
AWAY Mechelen
0.30 xG 0.65
26% Ball Possession 74%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
152 Passes 579
71% Pass Accuracy 91%
11 Box Touches 7
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs Mechelen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen beat La Louvière 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was La Louvière at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, La Louvière had 26% of the ball to Mechelen's 74%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.30 to 0.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mechelen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for La Louvière and 3.00 for Mechelen.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs Mechelen?

La Louvière 0-2 Mechelen in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs Mechelen?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 41%, draw 25%, Mechelen 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (La Louvière) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Under 2.5
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