Mechelen 3-1 La Louvière — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
15%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.82
No
65%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.51
2-3 Goals
40%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.65
6+ Goals
8%
6.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.51 — our 28% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
72%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.7pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+3.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.2pp
35%
BTTS Yes
51%
-16.2pp
65%
BTTS No
49%
+16.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mechelen EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY La Louvière EU Bookmakers 14%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.52/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
-38% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mechelen vs La Louvière
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mechelen saw off La Louvière 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mechelen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (65%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mechelen vs La Louvière?

Mechelen 3-1 La Louvière in the Belgium - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mechelen vs La Louvière?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mechelen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Mechelen 64%, draw 22%, La Louvière 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mechelen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mechelen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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