OH Leuven 2-0 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
21%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.62
2-3 Goals
39%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
79%
-19.1pp
19%
Draw
12%
+6.1pp
21%
Away Win
8%
+13.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
5.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +146%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
503 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
1W-1D-2L
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.58 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
368 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2023 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 2-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
11.11.2022 OH Leuven OH Leuven 5-0 HT 4-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
19.03.2022 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-1 HT 0-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
20.11.2021 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-3 HT 0-1 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven saw off RFC Seraing 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had OH Leuven as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, RFC Seraing led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for OH Leuven and 1.50 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs RFC Seraing?

OH Leuven 2-0 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 60%, draw 19%, RFC Seraing 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Over 2.5
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