AS Eupen 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.78
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
53%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.22
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
23%
2.71
6+ Goals
13%
6.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
10%
+11.9pp
25%
Draw
17%
+7.3pp
53%
Away Win
73%
-19.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise EU Bookmakers 77%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.14/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
+130% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
7.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Eupen
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.01 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
330 Passes 428
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-2 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
20.10.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 4-1 HT 2-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
05.03.2023 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
18.09.2022 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
26.02.2022 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise 0-0 HT 0-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL
23.10.2021 AS Eupen AS Eupen 2-3 HT 0-2 Union Saint-Gilloise Union Saint-Gilloise BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Eupen
0-3
AWAY Union Saint-Gilloise
0.15 xG 4.52
41% Ball Possession 59%
4 Total Shots 24
1 Shots on Target 17
3 Corners 10
224 Passes 373
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AS Eupen vs Union Saint-Gilloise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Saint-Gilloise cruised past AS Eupen 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Saint-Gilloise as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AS Eupen had 41% of the ball to Union Saint-Gilloise's 59%, shots finished 4-24, expected goals 0.15 to 4.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Saint-Gilloise led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AS Eupen and 2.17 for Union Saint-Gilloise.

What was the final score of AS Eupen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

AS Eupen 0-3 Union Saint-Gilloise in the Belgium - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Eupen vs Union Saint-Gilloise?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Saint-Gilloise win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AS Eupen 22%, draw 25%, Union Saint-Gilloise 53%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Saint-Gilloise) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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