30/10/2024
·
22:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Gent vs Rochefort Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
85%
20%
Draw
8%
29%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gent v Rochefort — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gent
EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Rochefort
EU Bookmakers 9%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-20%
/
+86%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
61%
Ball Possession
39%
16
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
501 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
269 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Gent vs Rochefort
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gent swept aside Rochefort 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gent as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Gent vs Rochefort?
Gent 7-0 Rochefort in the Belgium - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gent vs Rochefort?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gent win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gent 51%, draw 20%, Rochefort 29%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gent), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Gent)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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BEK
More Belgium - Cup
30 Oct 2024