Beerschot VA 3-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.44
2-3 Goals
34%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
14%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Beerschot VA EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Beerschot VA
2W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Liege
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.91 xG 0.69
68% Ball Possession 32%
25 Total Shots 6
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
572 Passes 212
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
40 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.02.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 1-4 HT 0-1 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA BEL2
26.11.2023 Beerschot VA Beerschot VA 3-0 HT 2-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
POST-MATCH Beerschot VA vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beerschot VA got the better of RFC Liege 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beerschot VA as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Beerschot VA had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Beerschot VA and 0.50 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of Beerschot VA vs RFC Liege?

Beerschot VA 3-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Beerschot VA vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Beerschot VA win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Beerschot VA 45%, draw 23%, RFC Liege 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beerschot VA), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Beerschot VA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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