Westerlo 2-1 Sporting Charleroi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 22 Feb 2026

📅22/02/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.08
6+ Goals
9%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.69
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
12%
5.9
X/2
14%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
15%
3.62
2/X
8%
12.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Westerlo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 40%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.90/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.30
+28% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
20.0 Crosses 19.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Westerlo
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.26 xG 2.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 333
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-0 HT 1-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
09.05.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 4-3 HT 1-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
11.04.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
22.02.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Westerlo
2-1
AWAY Sporting Charleroi
2.13 xG 1.31
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 6
284 Passes 329
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Westerlo nicked a narrow win over Sporting Charleroi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Westerlo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Westerlo had 46% of the ball to Sporting Charleroi's 54%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.13 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Westerlo and 2.17 for Sporting Charleroi.

What was the final score of Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Westerlo 2-1 Sporting Charleroi in the Belgium - Pro League on 22/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Westerlo vs Sporting Charleroi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Westerlo 34%, draw 29%, Sporting Charleroi 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ BTTS Yes
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