Sporting Charleroi 2-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 8 Nov 2025

📅08/11/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 31% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.79
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
18%
5.14
X/2
10%
7.63
X/X
12%
5.09
2/1
7%
23.55
2/2
17%
5.19
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.54/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.70
-20% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.1 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Westerlo
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.93 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
351 Passes 349
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 4-3 HT 1-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
11.04.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 2-2 HT 1-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
22.02.2025 Westerlo Westerlo 1-3 HT 1-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
09.11.2024 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
25.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
2-0
AWAY Westerlo
3.32 xG 1.18
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
213 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 41
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi saw off Westerlo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Charleroi as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 39% of the ball to Westerlo's 61%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 3.32 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.33 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo?

Sporting Charleroi 2-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 08/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 41%, draw 27%, Westerlo 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✓ Under 2.5
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